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The International Monetary Fund’s quarterly magazine
September 11, 2012
By: Michael Barbella
Finance and Development, estimates that by 2050, there will be a 77 percent increase in the number of people older than 65 living in Europe, with the population older than 85 years old doubling. Inevitably, government and public structures will be implementing changes and adaptations to accommodate the needs of this rapidly growing elderly population. In 2011, the total European market for orthopedic trauma devices was valued at more than 670 million euros, approximately $840 million at current exchange rates. The countries included in this analysis were Germany, France, U.K., Italy, Spain, Benelux (Belgium, Netherlands, Luxembourg), Scandinavia (Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark), Austria, Switzerland and Portugal. The healthcare system and medical industry will have to provide quick support and improved technologies suited for this new demographic scenario. As with all orthopedic markets, the orthopedic trauma device market is greatly driven by the increased rate of osteoporosis in the elderly population. In recent years, the European orthopedic trauma device market has been shifting towards new technologies and devices that are more beneficial and suited to an aging population. Trends such as an increase in the use of hip intramedullary (IM) nails over compression hip screws and a shift in preference from stainless steel to titanium technology are helping fuel innovation and market growth. The drivers behind these trends largely can be attributed to leading competitors supporting the switch to these technologies. DePuy Synthes has strongly been encouraging surgeons to use titanium devices, which are more biocompatible and lightweight, and therefore, better suit the needs of elderly patients. The strongest driver of the orthopedic trauma device market is Europe’s rapidly expanding aging population. As the elderly population grows, so do the incidence rates of osteoporosis, and in accordance, the rate of trauma-related bone injuries. The rapid rates at which the European population is aging can be attributed to a variety of causes, one of which is a drop in the fertility rate. The combined European average is well below the natural replacement rate, which forces the standard pyramidal demographic spread to reverse and causes the oldest segments of the population outnumber the youngest. Another factor contributing to the rise of the continent’s elderly populous is a foreseeable increase in the life expectancy rate of all European countries. Estimates indicate that by 2050, there will be a rise of about six years to the average life expectancy rate of Europeans, bumping it to 86 years. Although this increased elderly population will greatly increase demand in the market, it also creates a financial burden on governments. To deal with the stresses, many European countries are seeing an increase in the amount of hospital public tendering and the implementation of tighter reimbursement structures. Although these factors force competitors to lower their prices, the overall effect of the aging population will be positive and allow for the market to continue growing at a compound annual growth rate of 4.7 percent. Hip IM Nails Replacing Compression Hip Screws Over the past decade, an increasing number of surgeons have used hip IM nails in place of compression hip screws (a.k.a., dynamic hip screws) to treat proximal femoral fractures. The European hip IM nail market has seen an increase of nearly 9 percent compared with 2010, whereas the compression hip screw market experienced negative growth compared with 2010. Both rates are expected to stay relatively stable over the next five years, which will further widen the gap between their usage rates. This trend will lead to dominant use of IM nails to treat intertrochanteric fractures. Wider adoption of hip IM nails also will contribute to overall significant growth in the total orthopedic trauma device market due to the large price discrepancy between the two technologies where the average selling price of hip IM nails is about double that of compression hip screws.
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